Unlike some Abu Dhabi races, which can feel like a dead rubber as most teams shift focus to developing their new cars, this year is different. With the WCC still in contention and only minor regulation changes for next season, teams are furiously tweaking their cars. Ferrari should perform better here, as the circuit has similarities to Mexico and Vegas. They’ll be hoping McLaren has a tough weekend to give them a real shot at the championship. Like Qatar, the competition among the top four teams is unpredictable. McLaren, and possibly Red Bull, might not dominate as much as they did in Qatar, with the word ‘dominate’ is doing some heavy lifting.

The midfield battle remains exceptionally close. Haas and Williams may fare better, but Aston Martin is less likely to perform as they seemed to benefit more from the characteristics of the Qatar circuit.

The market is once again heavily favoring Verstappen and Norris, with odds that seem too short. Mercedes and Ferrari should enjoy the layout more, making this final race one that any of the top four teams could win.

Value Breakdown:

Piastri could excel here, and at $10, he’s worth the risk. Odds of $3+ for a podium finish are also excellent.

Ferrari is expected to improve, making Leclerc at 6 a reasonable pick.

Mercedes might get the zone, with Russell and Hamilton at around 10 offering good value also.